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Source document· May 11, 2026

Dollar Edges Higher on Crude Oil Strength

View original at nasdaq.com

Dollar Edges Higher on Crude Oil Strength The dollar index (DXY00) on Monday rose by +0.05%. The dollar was supported on Monday by increased safe-haven demand after the US and Iran failed to reach terms to end the war…

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Iran's latest peace proposal to end the conflict is totally unacceptable.
60% confidence
Swaps are discounting an 84% chance of a +25 bp rate hike by the ECB at the next policy meeting on June 11.
60% confidence
Markets are discounting a 73% chance of a 25 bp BOJ rate hike at the next policy meeting on June 16.
60% confidence
Japan imports more than 90% of its energy needs, making the yen particularly vulnerable to crude oil price increases.
60% confidence
PBOC gold reserves rose by +260,000 ounces to 74.64 million troy ounces in April — the largest monthly increase in a year and the eighteenth consecutive month of additions.
60% confidence
China April exports rose +14.1% y/y, stronger than expectations of +8.4% y/y.
60% confidence
Long holdings in silver ETFs fell to a 9-month low last Tuesday after rising to a 3.5-year high on December 23.
60% confidence
The +2% crude oil price increase boosts inflation expectations and may prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy, a supportive factor for the dollar.
60% confidence
Swaps markets are discounting 5% odds for a 25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.
60% confidence
US April existing home sales rose +0.2% m/m to 4.02 million, weaker than expectations of 4.05 million.
60% confidence
If energy prices do not improve significantly, an ECB interest rate hike will be unavoidable in the near future.
60% confidence
Long holdings in gold ETFs fell to a 5-month low on March 31 after climbing to a 3.5-year high on February 27.
60% confidence
China April imports rose +25.3% y/y, stronger than expectations of +20.0% y/y.
60% confidence
Higher crude oil prices boost inflation expectations and may prompt world central banks to tighten monetary policy, a bearish factor for precious metals.
60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

United States Government · gdp

4.02 millions_annualized