Thursday, August 13, 2026
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Source document· March 2, 2026

Markets Rebound After Initial Selloff Triggered by Middle East Tensions

View original at nasdaq.com
Markets Rebound After Initial Selloff Triggered by Middle East Tensions The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today isup +.07%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) is down -0.06%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +0.44%…
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  • Real-time risk premium for crude oil at $18/bbl, corresponding to estimate of impact of six-week full halt to tanker traffic in Strait of Hormuz

    80% confidence
  • S&P earnings growth expected to climb by 8.4% in Q4, marking tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth

    80% confidence
  • Excluding Magnificent Seven megacap technology stocks, Q4 earnings expected to increase by 4.6%

    80% confidence
  • Iran has no intention of negotiating with the US

    80% confidence
  • Iran's leaders should capitulate

    80% confidence
  • Combat operations could last for weeks until all objectives were completed

    80% confidence