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Source document· March 2, 2026

Stocks Recover as Iran War Pushes Energy and Defense Stocks Higher

View original at nasdaq.com

Stocks Recover as Iran War Pushes Energy and Defense Stocks Higher The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Monday closed up +0.04%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) closed down -0.15%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up +0.13%…

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Iran's leaders must capitulate
80% confidence
S&P earnings growth is expected to climb by +8.4% in Q4, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth
80% confidence
Excluding the Magnificent Seven megacap technology stocks, Q4 earnings are expected to increase by +4.6%
80% confidence
Combat operations could last for weeks until all objectives were completed
80% confidence
Full-year EPS forecast of $2.38
80% confidence
Iran has no intention of negotiating with the US
80% confidence
The real-time risk premium for crude oil is $18/bbl, corresponding to the estimate of the impact of a six-week full halt to tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz
80% confidence