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Source document· May 11, 2026

Strait of Hormuz Closure Pushes Crude Prices Higher

View original at nasdaq.com
Strait of Hormuz Closure Pushes Crude Prices Higher June WTI crude oil (CLM26) on Monday closed up +2.65 (+2.78%), and June RBOB gasoline (RBM26) closed up +0.0731 (+2.07%)…
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  • The territorial issue remains unresolved with Ukraine, and there is no hope of achieving a long-term settlement to the war until Russia's demand for territory in Ukraine is accepted

    60% confidence
  • About 14 million bpd of global oil supply has been shuttered by the Iran war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz

    60% confidence
  • US crude oil production in the week ending May 1 fell -0.1% w/w to 13.573 million bpd, below the record high of 13.862 million bpd posted in the week of November 7

    60% confidence
  • The US may restart the operation to guide commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz with naval and air support as soon as this week

    60% confidence
  • OPEC+ will boost crude output by 188,000 bpd in June after raising production by 206,000 bpd in May, as part of restoring the 2.2 million bpd cut made in early 2024

    60% confidence
  • Crude output in the Persian Gulf has been curtailed by about 14.5 million bpd due to the US-Iran conflict

    60% confidence
  • Russia's average refinery runs fell to 4.69 million bpd, the lowest in 16 years, following Ukrainian strikes in April

    60% confidence
  • Crude oil stored on tankers stationary for at least 7 days fell -33% week-over-week to 103.90 million bbl in the week ended May 8

    60% confidence
  • More than 80 energy facilities have been damaged during the conflict, and a recovery could take as long as two years

    60% confidence
  • OPEC's April crude production fell by -420,000 bpd to a 35-year low of 20.55 million bpd

    60% confidence
  • Russia is dragging out the Ukraine war

    60% confidence
  • The current disruption has drawn down nearly 500 million bbl from global crude stockpiles, which could hit a billion bbl by June

    60% confidence
  • Iran's latest peace proposals are totally unacceptable

    60% confidence

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United States Government · backlog410 active_oil_rigs
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