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Source document· April 11, 2026

Report delivers blunt reality check as US Medicare, Social Security shortfall surges to $130T — how to protect yourself

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Report delivers blunt reality check as US Medicare, Social Security shortfall surges to $130T — how to protect yourself Moneywise and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue through links in the content below…
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  • Unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare could be worth $88.4 trillion over a 75-year period

    60% confidence
  • Nearly 50% of Americans are making 1 big Social Security mistake

    60% confidence
  • Raising the retirement age, placing a cap on benefits for high-income households, or expanding legal immigration to bring in more young contributors would close some of the gap in the Social Security trust fund

    60% confidence
  • The U.S. is on an unsustainable fiscal trajectory driven by massive government spending and high debt

    60% confidence
  • Unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare could be worth $88.4 trillion over a 75-year period

    60% confidence
  • Corporate taxes will rise in the long-term to help close some of the government's fiscal deficit

    60% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Clinical Catalyst Season: Big-Pharma Data Flow, Regulatory Milestones, and a Thin AI-Drug Fringe
October 2026 conferences (EASD, IGCS, NACFC, HFSA) are producing a dense run of late-stage readouts from Novo Nordisk, Lilly, Roche, Bayer, Vertex and Galderma. Regulatory milestones are scheduled behind them: the ivonescimab BLA PDUFA date on 2026-11-14, FDA acceptance of Roche's vamikibart BLA, and Scholar Rock's EMA resubmission. The AI-and-finance angle is peripheral. It consists of the AI-designed drug Rentosertib and QAIAx, a speculative microcap whose trial claims (the QIII pilot, anticipated 2027-01-01, and a patent update) are forecasts and filings rather than data, so they warrant skepticism.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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