Shell fourth quarter 2025 update note
View original at finance.yahoo.comShell fourth quarter 2025 update note The following is an update to the fourth quarter 2025 outlook and gives an overview of our current expectations for the fourth quarter…
What we drew from this source
The claims Via News extracted from this document. We point to the source; we don't replace it.
Q4'25 Working Capital movements is expected to include the typical approximately $1.2 billion payment of German Mineral Oil Taxes
80% confidenceFollowing the formation of the incorporated Adura JV (UK Upstream), future cash flows will be in the form of dividends, with timing determined by the JV
80% confidenceThe deferred tax impact on Joint Ventures and Associates in Marketing and Chemicals is expected to be approximately $0.3 billion split roughly equally
80% confidenceCFFO excluding working capital is expected to include an approximately $1.5 billion outflow related to timing of payments of emissions certificates relating to the German BEHG
80% confidenceThe Chemicals sub-segment adjusted earnings are expected to be a significant loss, reflecting a non-cash deferred tax adjustment in a joint venture
80% confidenceTrading & Optimisation is expected to be significantly lower than Q3'25 for Chemicals and Products
80% confidenceThe Chemicals & Products segment adjusted earnings is expected to be below break-even in Q4'25
80% confidenceFollowing swap of Canadian oil sands, there will be a reduction in Chemicals and Products Adjusted Earnings with a corresponding reduction in non-controlling interest for 50% at a Shell Group level
80% confidenceTrading & Optimisation is expected to be in line with Q3'25 for Integrated Gas segment
80% confidenceNo assurance is provided that future dividend payments will match or exceed previous dividend payments
80% confidenceThe taxation charge across segments includes the annual non-cash reassessment of deferred tax assets
80% confidenceMarketing adjusted earnings are expected to be below Q4'24, reflecting a non-cash deferred tax adjustment in a joint venture
80% confidence
Data points we hold from this source
| Shell plc · depreciation upstream | 2.4-3.0 billion_USD |
| Shell plc · adjusted earnings corporate | -0.6 to -0.4 billion_USD |
| Shell plc · adjusted earnings renewables | -0.2 to 0.2 billion_USD |
| Shell plc · cffo tax paid | 2.3-3.1 billion_USD |
| Shell plc · chemicals margin | 140 USD_per_tonne |
| Shell plc · chemicals utilisation | 75-79 percent |
| Shell plc · depreciation chemicals and products | 0.7-0.9 billion_USD |
| Shell plc · depreciation integrated gas | 1.4-1.8 billion_USD |
| Shell plc · depreciation marketing | 0.5-0.7 billion_USD |
| Shell plc · lng liquefaction volumes | 7.5-7.9 million_tonnes |
| Shell plc · oil sands production canada | 20 kboe_per_day |
| Shell plc · production integrated gas | 930-970 kboe_per_day |
| Shell plc · production upstream | 1840-1940 kboe_per_day |
