Thursday, September 10, 2026
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FRED: 10-Year Treasury Minus 2-Year Treasury at 0.43% (2026-08-04)

View original at fred.stlouisfed.org
FEDERAL RESERVE ECONOMIC DATA (FRED) RELEASE Series: 10-Year Treasury Minus 2-Year Treasury Series ID: T10Y2Y Release Date: 2026-04-03 Frequency: Daily Source: Federal Reserve Category: Rates CURRENT VALUE: The 10-Year Treasury Minus 2-Year Treasury stands at 0.51% as of 2026-04-03…
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The claims Via News extracted from this document. We point to the source; we don't replace it.

  • Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation.

    60% confidence
  • Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy; changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation.

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative T10Y2Y spread) historically predicts recession.

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession

    60% confidence
  • Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession

    60% confidence
  • Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy; changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation

    60% confidence
  • Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy and changes affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation

    60% confidence
  • Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation.

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative spread) historically predicts recession

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative spread) historically predicts recession

    60% confidence
  • Yield curve inversion (negative) historically predicts recession

    60% confidence
  • Interest rates are a primary tool of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Changes in rates affect borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, influencing economic activity and inflation

    60% confidence
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What we're seeing
AI Capital Boom Meets Valuation Jitters: Funding Surges While Bellwether Stocks Wobble
A dense wave of AI-sector funding (Socure, Stability AI, Emerald AI, Generalist AI, Gatik, Regent Craft and others closing rounds on the same day) and strong enterprise-automation earnings (UiPath raising full-year guidance) point to continued heavy capital deployment into AI infrastructure, fintech-adjacent AI, and agentic automation. Yet Palantir's stock fell even after winning the Army's high-profile TITAN contract, and commentary (e.g., the Alphabet bull case citing AI capex and regulatory risk) signals growing investor unease about whether current AI valuations and spending levels are sustainable.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Both facts represent the same entity (JPMorgan Chase & Co.), same attribute (EPS), and same observation date (2025-12-31), which aligns with FY 2025 year-end reporting. Fact A explicitly states FY 2025 with EPS of 20.02 USD/share. Fact B has an unspecified fiscal period (N/A) but reports 4.63 USD, a significantly different value (4.3x lower). Given identical observation dates and the same metric, both facts appear intended to represent FY 2025 annual EPS. The conflicting values (20.02 vs 4.63) constitute a direct contradiction. The N/A period in Fact B suggests incomplete or corrupted metadata rather than legitimate time-period variation.
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FRED: 10-Year Treasury Minus 2-Year Treasury at 0.46% (2026-03-26) — Source | Via News | Via News